Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 6.836015e-05 0.000079 0.000091 0.000104 0.000118 0.000133 0.000150
2024-12-15 5.474058e-05 0.000069 0.000086 0.000105 0.000128 0.000153 0.000182
2024-12-22 4.372663e-05 0.000060 0.000079 0.000104 0.000133 0.000166 0.000207
2024-12-29 3.554848e-05 0.000053 0.000074 0.000102 0.000137 0.000178 0.000229
2025-01-05 2.893072e-05 0.000046 0.000069 0.000100 0.000139 0.000187 0.000248
2025-01-12 2.327301e-05 0.000040 0.000064 0.000096 0.000139 0.000193 0.000263
2025-01-19 1.842653e-05 0.000035 0.000058 0.000092 0.000138 0.000196 0.000274
2025-01-26 1.501233e-05 0.000031 0.000054 0.000089 0.000138 0.000202 0.000288
2025-02-02 1.378790e-05 0.000030 0.000055 0.000093 0.000147 0.000219 0.000317
2025-02-09 1.198327e-05 0.000028 0.000053 0.000094 0.000152 0.000230 0.000338
2025-02-16 1.191978e-05 0.000029 0.000056 0.000101 0.000166 0.000254 0.000376
2025-02-23 1.060814e-05 0.000027 0.000056 0.000102 0.000172 0.000266 0.000399
2025-03-02 8.316233e-06 0.000024 0.000052 0.000101 0.000175 0.000277 0.000424
2025-03-09 6.704061e-06 0.000022 0.000050 0.000101 0.000181 0.000293 0.000456
2025-03-16 5.083091e-06 0.000019 0.000047 0.000099 0.000183 0.000303 0.000481
2025-03-23 3.823293e-06 0.000016 0.000044 0.000097 0.000185 0.000314 0.000506
2025-03-30 2.785045e-06 0.000014 0.000041 0.000095 0.000186 0.000323 0.000529
2025-04-06 1.919039e-06 0.000012 0.000038 0.000092 0.000186 0.000328 0.000547
2025-04-13 1.233800e-06 0.000010 0.000034 0.000087 0.000183 0.000331 0.000561
2025-04-20 8.116888e-07 0.000008 0.000032 0.000085 0.000183 0.000338 0.000581
2025-04-27 6.854976e-07 0.000008 0.000032 0.000088 0.000194 0.000361 0.000624
2025-05-04 4.978402e-07 0.000007 0.000031 0.000089 0.000199 0.000375 0.000656
2025-05-11 4.974485e-07 0.000008 0.000034 0.000096 0.000216 0.000409 0.000716